Kamala Harris leads early 2028 Democratic primary polls, but the prediction markets aren’t buying it—ranking her behind even Stephen A. Smith. While Harris, AOC, and Buttigieg dominate in name recognition and net favorability, none are guaranteed to run, and each brings political baggage. Gavin Newsom tops betting odds, thanks to California’s early primary clout, but dark horses like Wes Moore and Josh Shapiro could rewrite the script. In a field this wide open, even Jon Stewart isn’t off the table—because in 2028, anything can happen.
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