Climate

How impactful is geothermal?

I send these updates along to CFACT’s readers so they will be in the know, and so I have dates that I got this out in public so we can test the hypothesis.  So, this is the update on the geothermal situation. Unlike Al Gore, who has countless forecasts that had nothing to do with reality, I am able to see what I told you, right or wrong, in my authors link.

First of all, if it seems like I was dismissing the sun in all this, its not true. It’s just that it’s a given. The sun is the conductor of the climate orchestra. It is part of my grand slam of climate (used to be the triple crown, But I added a 4th).

1 The sun

2 The oceans

3.  The very design of the entire system ( that really gets some people mad since some greater being had to design it)

4  Stochastic and/or man-made contributions

It’s a matter of attribution.  And man-made, compared to everything else, is intuitively tiny. Cut CO2, so what compared to the other parts?

How important is the sun?  Well, outside of the obvious, it may be the very alignment of the sun and Jupiter that is causing the exothermic reaction I have spoken about,

https://theethicalskeptic.com/tag/core-exothermic-cycle/

to increase the stress on the bottom of the ocean, enabling the estimated 10 million hydrothermal vents to contribute enough to explain the last 4 decades. If CO2 was doing it, it should have been the previous 4, when it was introduced, that it made the biggest difference, not now.

In any case, Dr Arthur Viterito, a geologist has been my “deep throat” in supplying me updates on the mechanism that is the cause.  As I have stated before it’s unbelievable that we have to wait till after the fact to see all this, but our data acquisition in the deep oceans is poor if I am kind, laughable if I am not. The hypothesis is based on the OBSERVATION  of the oceans and weather, that something has to be causing this, most likely an input that was not present 30-40 years ago.

I have been working with Dr Arthur Viterito.

Dr Viterito writes:

The Global Centroid Moment Catalogue (GCMT) has just been updated, and we now have a completed catalog through March 31 for this year. The data points in red are the projected estimates for the full year. Keep in mind that the “Completed” catalog is 3 to 4 months behind their “Quick” catalog. In short, we always want the “Completed” catalog as events are added going forward.

Figure 1 – Mid-ocean seismic frequencies (MOSZSA) >= 5.3

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Figure 2. Total global frequencies >= 5.3

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Analysis: It appears that total global frequencies peaked in 2011, and mid-ocean frequencies peaked 3 years later in 2014. We appear to have “rounded a top” for both and should head towards lowered frequencies in the years to come. The lag between the 2 curves is significant and fits with the “slab pull/ridge push” hypothesis of global tectonics. That is, the converging plates are first “pulled” into the mantle due to gravity, and the ridges, the area where geothermal heating occurs in the ocean floors, are “pushed” apart, with magma rising up to fill the gaps.

If the hypothesis is correct, we can expect some cooling in the years to come. This could get very interesting going forward!

Back to me: Remember, one of the biggest reasons this is a likely cause for the warming is the lag! It takes a while for the oceans in TOTALITY to respond. Underwater heatwaves go off rapidly, and then there is a local response that leads to the entire ocean warming up once it’s washed out, in incremental step-ups. But we know the oceans lag, and again, the overall chart of all this really is a big argument for why this is a cause for the warming of the last 30-35 years in the ocean. But that build-up does not just go away.  There is a lag in the response of the ocean.

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It was the increase in geothermal first,then the response. The lag is several years but that would be expected with warming. A faster response to a cooler look may be on the way since it is tougher to sustain heat when it’s this warm.

The math is impressive.

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Keep in mind this is not ignoring solar, which I believe is the grand conductor, but in a larger time scale. It is hard to argue against this, and consequently, both of these together.

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Both of these strongly support this from Dr Wyss Yim.

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I have a 4th, but in either case, manmade contribution is last.  Note this is not denying climate change, and people who accuse my side of that are liars. It does strongly question attribution.

BTW it fits with the cyclical idea in this link

https://theethicalskeptic.com/tag/core-exothermic-cycle/

which, if it is right, likely occurred similarly in the 30s,40s, and 50s

There is no guarantee we are right. But what is very important, and I would think that all around you that you are seeing in every aspect of news today,  would convince you of that in anything important, you get all the information. If anything, at least I am putting forth what could be a testable hypothesis over the next few years. This July is now almost .3 C below last July as the effects of Tonga start to get absorbed in the entire scheme of the climate. But as a practicing meteorologist for 45 years, what is startling to me is the lack of curiosity on what is not shown by major media outlets. It’s like the silence on the lack of tropical activity in the Pacific is truly mind-boggling to me in relation to global tropical activity.

What may be driving the warming?  If you like tests, one may be lurking.

Joe Bastardi

The post How impactful is geothermal? was first published by the Committee For A Constructive Tomorrow (CFACT), and is republished here with permission. Please support their efforts.

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